The Basis Point

Aug 11, 2026

The Market Looks Resilient. The Borrowers Don’t

Takeaway: New money accounted for only ~27% of the $221B in Q2 loan activity, and of the $53.8B of issuance, a five-year high, $13B came from a single transaction. Borrowers are pushing out maturities rather than putting money to work.

The average spread looks steady, but B- paper has widened 57bps since Q4 2025 and now trades at its widest gap to single B since Covid. The average is holding because the dispersion is sitting inside it.

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